586. Can the Democrats Capitalise on Trump's Midterm Disaster?
⏱ 73 min listen · ~2 min read
Two former government insiders, one fresh from a road trip through Trump country, explain what the 2026 midterm result actually changes for both parties and for America's allies.
Key takeaways
- 01Democrats won both houses of Congress in the November 2026 midterms, and Trump conceded quickly while blaming his absence from the ballot.
- 02Rory Stewart found voters in Ohio, Kentucky and West Virginia punishing Trump over prices, not over any threat to democracy.
- 03Spending on the 2026 midterms was put at $12 billion, the most in US history and more on ads than the whole 2024 presidential cycle.
- 04Rory Stewart warns a lame-duck Trump keeps full command of the military and could still act on Iran, Cuba or Taiwan.
Chapters
0:00 · The scale of the Democratic midterm wave4:53 · Polls, Senate sweeps and the Alaska exception6:21 · Trump's quick concession and the ballot excuse12:23 · Why populists like Orban and Trump accept defeat13:26 · Corruption, presidential pardons and record spending18:43 · Ossoff, Tallarico and a new kind of Democrat+8 more
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585. Rory Goes to a Trump Rally and Will the Youth Protests Spread to Britain?
⏱ 69 min listen · ~2 min read
It pairs on-the-ground reporting from Appalachia, a Trump rally and Louisiana with hard early-vote and polling numbers, so you can judge the midterm mood for yourself.
Key takeaways
- 01Rory Stewart reported from Eastern Kentucky, West Virginia and a Trump rally in Chillicothe, Ohio, in the final days before the 2026 US midterms.
- 02Pentecostal voters in Appalachia forgive Trump over abortion and gay marriage, but Rory Stewart expects gas and grocery prices to decide their vote.
- 03Early voting reached a record 49.6 million nationally, including 6.9 million in Texas, about 50% more than Texas cast early in 2022.
- 04Democrats need four seats to flip a 53–47 Senate, yet pollsters have missed in the last four cycles, Ann Selzer's Iowa call among them.
Chapters
0:00 · Hillbilly Elegy and the Appalachia question6:06 · Poverty and opioid deaths in Kentucky's valleys11:02 · Abortion, gay marriage and the cost of living14:57 · Senate arithmetic and a polling health warning17:15 · Haley Stevens crosses over in Michigan18:18 · An unusually varied slate of Democratic candidates+8 more
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David Blunkett on Blindness, Adversity and Why Politicians Give Up Too Easily
⏱ 25 min listen · ~2 min read
🎙 David Blunkett
A former Home Secretary who has never been able to see explains, with humour and candour, what kept him going through grief, resignation and injury.
Key takeaways
- 01David Blunkett, born blind and sent to a school for the blind at four, became Sheffield Council leader at 33 and later a New Labour cabinet minister.
- 02Blunkett credits his recovery after resigning as Home Secretary to other people, including a cup of tea from Margaret, the doctor he later married.
- 03Blunkett has worked with seven guide dogs, and says each one needs some months before it can anticipate where he intends to go.
- 04A fall between platform and train on the London Underground left Blunkett with 25 weeks of outpatient treatment and a lasting sense of humiliation.
Chapters
2:40 · Alastair Campbell introduces David Blunkett4:06 · Blunkett pokes fun at the perseverance definition5:40 · Born blind compared with losing sight later on7:08 · Boarding school at four and a father's geography lessons8:08 · The gas works accident that killed his father10:07 · A diagnosis of short-lived, quick-to-quit politics+8 more
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584. Why Is Trump Losing Voters and Will Texas Turn Blue?
⏱ 61 min listen · ~2 min read
It sets ground-level reporting from Ohio and Texas against the national polls, so you hear both what voters say and what the numbers say before the midterm results.
Key takeaways
- 01Rory Stewart in Ohio and Izzy in San Antonio, Texas test whether Republicans could lose Senate and governor races in two very different midterm battlegrounds.
- 02Diesel and grocery prices hit Ohio farmers, while ICE detentions reach Texas churches, with one in five Latinos saying they know someone detained or deported.
- 03Latino voters went from a 25-point Democratic lead in 2020 to 3 points in 2024, and Alastair Campbell now cites Trump's net approval among them at minus 38.
- 04Rory Stewart finds most Trump voters in Butler County, Ohio decent and moderate, and expects only a small share to defect, though that could still flip seats.
Chapters
0:00 · Rory Stewart sets the scene from southern Ohio4:07 · How much the midterms can change in Congress7:02 · Ohio up close: prosperity beside hidden poverty13:31 · Vivek Ramaswamy's ad against Amy Acton16:26 · Izzy in Texas on Latino voters and ICE fear22:46 · Elon Musk's money and Talarico's corruption pitch+8 more
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583. Is Burnham’s Budget Too Safe and How Brazil Defied Trump
⏱ 60 min listen · ~2 min read
Two of Britain's best-connected political insiders explain a new government's first budget and then three election upsets that nearly every pundit called wrong.
Key takeaways
- 01Chancellor John Healey's first budget under Andy Burnham committed Britain to defence spending of 3% of GDP by the end of the decade.
- 02Healey funded energy-bill relief with a one-off tax on banks and a gambling levy, including £100 off bills for homes in council tax bands A to D.
- 03Rory Stewart put UK tax at 36.3% of GDP and heading for 38.5%, up from about 33% in 2019, the highest level since the war.
- 04Aleksandar Vučić called an early election in Serbia and lost to a student-led list with no leader, which won more than 140 of 250 seats.
Chapters
0:00 · Budget day cold open and sponsor reads4:22 · Alastair Campbell's rundown of Healey's first budget9:25 · Rory Stewart on pre-budget wealth tax leaks20:27 · Britain's tax burden and debt interest since 201924:09 · Luke Tryl's polling on energy bills and the middle29:11 · Lula's record comeback in Brazil's runoff+7 more
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Kim Leadbeater, MP: My Sister's Murder and Why I Never Wanted To Go Into Politics
⏱ 27 min listen · ~2 min read
🎙 Kim Leadbeater
Two people who have each suffered extreme loss disagree civilly about assisted dying, and the MP who led the bill explains in detail why she thinks it was blocked.
Key takeaways
- 01Kim Leadbeater became MP for Batley and Spen only because her sister Jo Cox was murdered during the 2016 Brexit referendum campaign.
- 02Leadbeater describes grief as layers around the loss itself: Jo Cox's public, deliberate killing added media, political and court strands that an illness does not.
- 03Unelected peers tabled about 1,200 amendments to the assisted dying bill, including filming each death and a pregnancy test for every applicant.
- 04Lindsay Nicholson backs choice in principle but wants hospices, only one third funded by government, fixed before assisted dying becomes law.
Chapters
2:41 · A perseverance series and two very different guests6:02 · Lindsay Nicholson's delayed breakdown in 20177:47 · John Merritt's blood cancer and Ellie's death at nine9:25 · A breast cancer diagnosis and a receptionist's rebuke10:58 · Kim Leadbeater's ordinary Yorkshire life before 201612:15 · Why a public murder makes grief heavier+8 more
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582. Netanyahu’s Fight for Survival and the Gaza Film That Shocked Rory and Alastair
⏱ 62 min listen · ~2 min read
Two former insiders read the Knesset arithmetic and then confront what an Israeli documentary reveals about how Gaza targets were chosen.
Key takeaways
- 01Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc polls near 52 Knesset seats against about 54 for the opposition, both short of the 61 needed for a majority.
- 02Gadi Eisenkot's opposition bloc rules out a two-state platform and a coalition with the Arab parties, who could win around 15 seats.
- 03Rory Stewart cites polling that only about a quarter of Jewish Israeli voters still support an independent Palestinian state.
- 04An Israeli documentary describes AI flagging suspected Hamas members at 85% confidence and strikes cleared if under 20 civilians would die.
Chapters
0:00 · Two ways of seeing the Israeli election5:21 · Pro and anti-Netanyahu blocs in the polls8:07 · Coalition horse trading and odd past outcomes11:06 · Netanyahu's slogan and Palestinian statehood14:21 · Trump's endorsement of Netanyahu16:13 · American Jewish opinion after October 7th+8 more
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581. Trump and Putin vs. Zelensky: Is Europe Sleepwalking into Disaster?
⏱ 57 min listen · ~2 min read
It sets out, in plain terms, the argument that Europe's security problem is no longer Russia alone but its reliance on an America that may be on Russia's side.
Key takeaways
- 01Rory Stewart and Alastair Campbell, recording in Oslo after dinner with Norway's prime minister, argue Donald Trump has sided with Russia over Ukraine.
- 02Ukraine relies on US satellites and intelligence for deep strikes, so the Starlink and Starshield switch-off also blinded it to incoming Russian missiles.
- 03Alastair Campbell cites a figure that 85% of objects orbiting Earth are controlled by Elon Musk, the near-monopoly behind Europe's satellite dependence.
- 04Rory Stewart says Europe can only cut its US dependence by accepting reprisals, from the EU spectrum row to Patriot missiles and AI models.
Chapters
0:00 · Zelensky's worst week and a recording trip to Oslo5:14 · Russian drone barrage on Ukraine's power plants5:50 · The Starlink and Starshield switch-off7:32 · Zelensky warns of a US and Russia alliance10:28 · Middle powers and Europe's reliance on America12:50 · Why burden sharing was the wrong reading of Trump+8 more
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Addiction, Breakdown and Finding Persevilience: Rory Interviews Alastair
⏱ 69 min listen · ~2 min read
Rory Stewart gets Alastair Campbell to describe his breakdown, his depressions and his son's addiction more plainly than he usually does on the show.
Key takeaways
- 01Alastair Campbell coined persevilience for turning any setback into a chance to grow, and built a book on it after two books about depression.
- 02Campbell's definition needs values at its core, so Donald Trump and Nigel Farage show the relentlessness of persevilience without the principles.
- 03Campbell's breakdown at 29 in Scotland ended in arrest, and he says the memory of surviving it got him through the Iraq War years.
- 04Leaving Downing Street brought one of Campbell's three worst depressions, which he ties to losing his purpose and a need to stay relevant.
Chapters
2:54 · Alastair Campbell sets up the persevilience series5:56 · Where the word came from and what it is made of9:02 · Trump, Farage and Putin: relentless without values13:40 · Obsession, workaholism and getting things done20:11 · Role models, Mandela and the cost to families22:51 · The breakdown at 29 and the editor who took him back+8 more
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580. How to Solve Britain’s Youth Unemployment Crisis
⏱ 60 min listen · ~1 min read
Transcript available; summary, chapters and takeaways are on their way.
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579. Trump’s Public Execution Order and Burnham’s Brexit Intervention
⏱ 59 min listen · ~1 min read
Transcript available; summary, chapters and takeaways are on their way.
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578. Alastair and Michael Gove Disagree Agreeably on Brexit and Israel
⏱ 56 min listen · ~2 min read
🎙 Michael Gove
It is a rare long, civil argument between a Leave architect and a Remain campaigner, with both sides putting numbers on the table.
Key takeaways
- 01Michael Gove stood in for Rory Stewart on The Rest Is Politics, debating Brexit, Israel and Manchester City with Alastair Campbell.
- 02Michael Gove says Brexit pays off through regulatory freedom in AI, gene editing and finance, after an upfront cost from new customs barriers.
- 03Alastair Campbell cites a 6 to 8 percent GDP hit and 39.2 million customs declarations costing UK firms about £7.5 billion a year.
- 04Michael Gove will not initiate criticism of Israel, while Campbell cites 81,000 Palestinians killed in Gaza, 21,000 of them children.
Chapters
0:00 · Two standing disagreements: Brexit and Israel-Gaza4:27 · Another EU referendum and Labour's 2029 options5:48 · Burnham's verdict on Brexit and the GDP argument11:48 · Whether Boris Johnson truly believed in Leave12:29 · Leaving without a plan and the Theresa May years15:35 · A European poll on welcoming Britain back+8 more
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