Answered from Pivot Extra: From ‘Trump Curious’ to ‘Trump Furious’: Inside the Midterm Odds · Pivot · 2026-10-25
Kristen Soltis Anderson does not see prediction markets as competition, because campaigns hire pollsters to shape outcomes, not to forecast winners. Terrence Woodbury is highly suspicious of the markets, arguing that traders with inside information can tilt them. Dave Wasserman notes that bettors lack the private party and super PAC polling that analysts see, yet Cook is gaining subscribers who wager on races.
“They don't want to predict the future. They want to write the future.” Kristen Soltis Anderson · at 21:14 — open in the transcript →
Source: our own transcription of the episode. The full conversation is on Pivot (2026-10-25). Read the whole episode summary →