Which 2026 Senate polls is Harry Enten most skeptical of?

Harry Enten named Ohio as near the top of his list of states where polls may miss, because of its many white working-class voters and a history of late Republican surges, though he still rates Sherrod Brown more likely than not to beat Jon Husted. He called Iowa, where Josh Turek and Ashley Hinson are tied near 46%, the close race Democrats should worry about most, and said it would not be the seat that delivers a Democratic majority.

• Enten said Husted is an appointed incumbent and that some Ohio voters still think Brown holds the seat.
• Enten said Brown's focus on data centers and AI shows up in Ohio polling.
• Enten called Iowa home to the most notable polling miss of the last decade.

▸In their words

“I would put Ohio closer to the top of the list of where I'm the most skeptical of the polling data.” Harry Enten · at 36:38 — open in the transcript →

“It's not the 51st seat if I'm a Democrat.” Harry Enten · at 42:18 — open in the transcript →

Source: our own transcription of the episode. The full conversation is on Pod Save America (2026-11-01). Read the whole episode summary →

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