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Question

Does Harry Enten trust the Texas Senate polls showing James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton?

Answered from What the Final Polls Tell Us · Pod Save America · 2026-11-01

Yes. Harry Enten said Texas sits in the middle or near the bottom of his list of states where he doubts the polling, and that he believes the polls showing Democrat James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton. He noted no Democrat has polled this well in Texas since Lloyd Bentsen in 1988, that Beto O'Rourke beat his final polls in 2018, and that Paxton is the least popular Republican Senate nominee in Texas this century. He still called the race tight enough that a four-point swing decides it.

Source: our own transcription of the episode. The full conversation is on Pod Save America (2026-11-01). Read the whole episode summary →

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