Can Ukraine win the war against Russia, according to Sarah Paine?

Sarah Paine told Steven Bartlett that Ukraine can win and is winning now. She pointed to Ukraine's home-built drones and ballistic missiles and its strikes on Russian oil refineries, which Russia cannot easily replace because they rely on Western technology. She expects Europe to keep funding Ukraine because Russia would come for the rest of Europe next, and suggested the West could offer Putin's circle safe passage and money as an off-ramp.

A search Bartlett read out put Russia's lost oil refinery capacity at up to 50%, with defence taking roughly 40% of the national budget.
Paine said Elon Musk's Starlink kill switch has made serious buyers, including India, wary of the service.
Paine said Franklin Delano Roosevelt would have pushed industry to mass-produce Patriot interceptors.

Source: our own transcription of the episode. The full conversation is on The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett (2026-10-29). Read the whole episode summary →

▸More from this episode

Q1Why does Sarah Paine call the Iran war one of the most incompetent wars in history?Q2What does Sarah Paine mean by continentalist powers and the maritime world order?Q3Does Sarah Paine think the world is heading toward World War III?Q4Why does Sarah Paine reject the idea that NATO expansion caused the Ukraine war?Q5What did Sarah Paine say about reports of a Trump deal with Putin for diesel?Q7What does Sarah Paine think happens in Russia after Putin dies?Q8What did Sarah Paine say about the US midterms and Pete Hegseth?

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