Does Leah of The Leah Files think Democrats will sweep the 2026 midterms?

Yes. When Shawn Ryan cited Polymarket giving Democrats a 44% chance of a midterm sweep, Leah said she thinks the odds could be higher. She argues the right split itself during the primaries, especially in the costly fight against Thomas Massie, so disaffected Republicans will stay home while Democrats turn out in force. She sees Charlie Kirk's assassination as a catalyst for the split.

• Leah estimates about $40 to $45 million was spent to defeat Massie in the primary.
• Shawn Ryan blames the split on broken campaign promises and singles out Joe Kent's resignation.

Source: our own transcription of the episode. The full conversation is on The Shawn Ryan Show (2026-10-20). Read the whole episode summary →

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