What do Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway predict for the midterm elections on Pivot?

Days before the midterms, Kara Swisher said she expects Democrats to win both the House and the Senate, while warning that late momentum can be a mirage. The hosts cited a RealClearPolling generic-ballot lead of 8.3 points for Democrats, Decision Desk HQ giving Democrats a 79% chance of taking the House with about 238 seats, and Kalshi pricing a Democratic blue tsunami at 57%, up from 45% two weeks earlier.

• For scale, Democrats won the 2018 House popular vote by 8.6 points and gained 40 seats.
• Trump's late offers included a $5,000 dividend per adult if Republicans hold both chambers, $8 billion for farmers and settling Camp Lejeune water claims.
• In Alaska, Governor Mike Dunleavy ordered an inquiry into reports that Democratic operatives recruited a second Dan Sullivan to split Senator Dan Sullivan's vote.
• Swisher praised the Democratic candidates, singling out Amy Acton in Ohio and AOC's line common sense, not communism.

Source: our own transcription of the episode. The full conversation is on Pivot (2026-10-30). Read the whole episode summary →

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